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2 May 2013
Forex Flash: QE poised for expansion rather than mitigation? – Deutsche Bank
FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - The FOMC statement last night offered few changes, however the one important sentence was added which reads "The Committee is prepared to increase or reduce the pace of its purchases to maintain appropriate policy accommodation as the outlook for the labor market or inflation changes".
According to Macro Strategy Analysts J. Reid and C. Tan at Deutsche Bank, “This tells us that if the recent softer tone in the data turns into a more serious economic slowdown (or a more serious drop in inflation), the next shift in policy could easily be an expansion rather than a tapering of QE.”
The UST 10-year yield fell 4bps to 1.629% overnight to the lowest level since the 10th of December 2012. In terms of markets, a sell-off in the commodity complex was also a main reason behind the softer risk tone yesterday.
According to Macro Strategy Analysts J. Reid and C. Tan at Deutsche Bank, “This tells us that if the recent softer tone in the data turns into a more serious economic slowdown (or a more serious drop in inflation), the next shift in policy could easily be an expansion rather than a tapering of QE.”
The UST 10-year yield fell 4bps to 1.629% overnight to the lowest level since the 10th of December 2012. In terms of markets, a sell-off in the commodity complex was also a main reason behind the softer risk tone yesterday.