Kể từ bây giờ chúng tôi là Elev8
Chúng tôi không chỉ là một nhà môi giới. Chúng tôi là một hệ sinh thái giao dịch tất cả trong một—mọi thứ bạn cần để phân tích, giao dịch và phát triển đều có ở một nơi. Sẵn sàng nâng tầm giao dịch của bạn?
Tin tức giao dịch
23 Apr 2013
Forex Flash: Reasons why EUR should depreciate over coming months - RBS
FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - RBS FX strategist David Simmonds just laid out in a report sent out to clients a plethora of reasons potentially weighing in the EUR/USD exchange rate over coming months.
According to David: "The Euro area growth prognosis is dire and there is more ECB easing on the way. We expect a refi rate cut by June, alongside the new Staff forecasts. This is likely to be ineffective, of course, as a means of stimulating growth. But the ECB will feel the need to be seen to be doing something.
"Also rates strategy colleagues re-emphasise that 2Y Germany yields look cheap at 0.02%! Not a case of how low can it go, but how negative (the answer we think is deeply negative). So 2Y rate spreads can be a driver of EUR/USD lower over time" he adds.
David also touches on capital controls inside a currency union, saying it is not viable, and that "this potentially creates a deeply dangerous precedent set for the single currency and a key reason why we expect EUR to depreciate over coming months."
According to David: "The Euro area growth prognosis is dire and there is more ECB easing on the way. We expect a refi rate cut by June, alongside the new Staff forecasts. This is likely to be ineffective, of course, as a means of stimulating growth. But the ECB will feel the need to be seen to be doing something.
"Also rates strategy colleagues re-emphasise that 2Y Germany yields look cheap at 0.02%! Not a case of how low can it go, but how negative (the answer we think is deeply negative). So 2Y rate spreads can be a driver of EUR/USD lower over time" he adds.
David also touches on capital controls inside a currency union, saying it is not viable, and that "this potentially creates a deeply dangerous precedent set for the single currency and a key reason why we expect EUR to depreciate over coming months."