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22 Apr 2013
Forex Flash: Yen better offered as G20 fails to single out Japan - BBH
FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - Marc Chandler, Global Head of Currency Strategy at Brown Brothers Harriman notes that the Yen was better offered in the Asia session over the past week as he anticipated that Japan would not come in for special criticism from the G20/IMF meeting.
He notes that the yen bears took advantage of this to push the dollar back above JPY99 ahead of the weekend and he feels that it appears that many of the yen shorts that were forced to cover in the 4% slide, have scrambled to reestablish their positions. In the options market, he sees that dollar calls have been bought and this has underpinned implied volatility and the risk-reversals. Technically, Chandler adds that the dollar looks poised to push through the JPY100 level in days ahead. The 2009 high comes in near JPY101.45 and is the next immediate target. That said, a failure to break the JPY100 level convincingly, while Japanese investors continue to sell foreign bonds, would hit the bearish yen psychology.”
He notes that the yen bears took advantage of this to push the dollar back above JPY99 ahead of the weekend and he feels that it appears that many of the yen shorts that were forced to cover in the 4% slide, have scrambled to reestablish their positions. In the options market, he sees that dollar calls have been bought and this has underpinned implied volatility and the risk-reversals. Technically, Chandler adds that the dollar looks poised to push through the JPY100 level in days ahead. The 2009 high comes in near JPY101.45 and is the next immediate target. That said, a failure to break the JPY100 level convincingly, while Japanese investors continue to sell foreign bonds, would hit the bearish yen psychology.”