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24 Apr 2015
Key events for the week ahead in EZ - TDS
FXStreet (Guatemala) - Analysts at TD Securities offered the key events taking place for the EZ this week.
Key Quotes:
"Riksbank Decision (Wed 29 Apr): We look for the Riksbank to keep its policy rate on hold at -0.25% this month, after the initial move into negative territory in February followed up by the intermeeting rate cut in March. We think that the path for the policy rate will be determined largely by the path for the currency, and as long as EUR/SEK continues to trade around the 9.30s as it has the last few weeks, and inflation expectations stabilize, then we don’t see any scope for further rate cuts. However, we do expect to see the Riksbank extend its QE program for another few weeks, through to the next policy meeting in July, as the fact that Sweden is also doing QE is likely the primary reason that SEK has been able to stabilize versus the EUR."
"Eurozone Flash CPI (Thurs 30 Apr): With energy prices continuing to stabilize through April, we should see Eurozone inflation also look a little stronger. We see Eurozone inflation edging higher to flat Y/Y in April, its first time out of negative territory since November. However, we think that it’s far too early for any kind of talk of ECB tapering, as the program is only 6 weeks in, and the PMI data this week showed us that growth is still quite vulnerable."
Key Quotes:
"Riksbank Decision (Wed 29 Apr): We look for the Riksbank to keep its policy rate on hold at -0.25% this month, after the initial move into negative territory in February followed up by the intermeeting rate cut in March. We think that the path for the policy rate will be determined largely by the path for the currency, and as long as EUR/SEK continues to trade around the 9.30s as it has the last few weeks, and inflation expectations stabilize, then we don’t see any scope for further rate cuts. However, we do expect to see the Riksbank extend its QE program for another few weeks, through to the next policy meeting in July, as the fact that Sweden is also doing QE is likely the primary reason that SEK has been able to stabilize versus the EUR."
"Eurozone Flash CPI (Thurs 30 Apr): With energy prices continuing to stabilize through April, we should see Eurozone inflation also look a little stronger. We see Eurozone inflation edging higher to flat Y/Y in April, its first time out of negative territory since November. However, we think that it’s far too early for any kind of talk of ECB tapering, as the program is only 6 weeks in, and the PMI data this week showed us that growth is still quite vulnerable."