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23 Apr 2015
Strong GBP good for UK inflation – Investec
FXStreet (Barcelona) - Yesterday’s hawkish BoE MPC minutes and the view of members regarding the positive impact on inflation due to sterling’s appreciation were GBP supportive, comments Jonathan Pryor, Head of FX dealing at Investec.
Key Quotes
“Back to more immediate matters and yesterday's fairly balanced Bank of England minutes from the MPC's April interest rate meeting was taken in a slightly hawkish tone by currency markets. Committee members were unanimous in their feeling the next rate move would be a hike, with two members still feeling it is a balanced decision despite the fall to 0% in headline inflation from lower oil prices.”
“The committee also noted the previously strong Pound may feed through to higher inflation sooner than they had expected, while they felt with markets currently pricing in a first hike in Q3 2016 was likely behind the curve.”
“Such comments are very welcomed news for GBP with the General Election creeping up on us and the expectation remaining that investors will exit the Pound in the event of a messy result.”
Key Quotes
“Back to more immediate matters and yesterday's fairly balanced Bank of England minutes from the MPC's April interest rate meeting was taken in a slightly hawkish tone by currency markets. Committee members were unanimous in their feeling the next rate move would be a hike, with two members still feeling it is a balanced decision despite the fall to 0% in headline inflation from lower oil prices.”
“The committee also noted the previously strong Pound may feed through to higher inflation sooner than they had expected, while they felt with markets currently pricing in a first hike in Q3 2016 was likely behind the curve.”
“Such comments are very welcomed news for GBP with the General Election creeping up on us and the expectation remaining that investors will exit the Pound in the event of a messy result.”