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Japan headline inflation might pick up by end-2015 – BNPP
FXStreet (Barcelona) - Raymond Van der Putten of BNP Paribas, expects Japanese headline inflation to gradually pick up by end-2015 and reach BoJ’s 2% target in the course of 2016.
Key Quotes
“Some fear that aggressive monetary easing could ultimately lead to hyperinflation. For the moment, there are not many signs of inflation picking up. On the contrary, inflation has been declining following the decline in oil prices.”
“Hence, some hold the opposite view and argue that the BoJ should step up its asset purchase programme to prevent the return of a deflationary mind set.”
“In our opinion, underlying inflation should gradually pick up in the coming quarters as the output is closed. This movement is strengthened by the rise in long-term inflation expectations towards the BoJ’s 2% objective.”
“By end 2015, as the effect of falling oil prices dissipates, headline inflation will pick up again. Inflation may reach the 2% target in the course of 2016.”