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16 Apr 2015
Positive on a September US rate hike – Westpac
FXStreet (Barcelona) - Sean Callow of Westpac, expects Fed to hike rates in September, and add that the rise in funds rate will be very gradual from its current 0-0.25% range.
Key Quotes
“Indeed it has been another poor week for the US economy. Mar retail sales showed only a modest rise after very weak readings from Dec to Feb. Small business optimism fell, the NY Fed’s manufacturing survey hit a low since Dec 2014 and industrial production fell more than expected. Only a small improvement in homebuilder sentiment provided a glimmer of hope.”
“US 10 year yields are broadly range-bound, finding buyers fleeing the Eurozone’s ultra-low yields but the 2 year T-note is again testing under 0.50%. This implies the Fed raises the funds rate only very gradually from its current 0-0.25% range.”
“We still expect a Sep rate hike but the near term talk is likely to be about how long rates stay near zero.”
Key Quotes
“Indeed it has been another poor week for the US economy. Mar retail sales showed only a modest rise after very weak readings from Dec to Feb. Small business optimism fell, the NY Fed’s manufacturing survey hit a low since Dec 2014 and industrial production fell more than expected. Only a small improvement in homebuilder sentiment provided a glimmer of hope.”
“US 10 year yields are broadly range-bound, finding buyers fleeing the Eurozone’s ultra-low yields but the 2 year T-note is again testing under 0.50%. This implies the Fed raises the funds rate only very gradually from its current 0-0.25% range.”
“We still expect a Sep rate hike but the near term talk is likely to be about how long rates stay near zero.”